Calgary Flames at Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:
- Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Kraken (1-1) in better form than Flames (0-2)
- Rest Days. Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kraken defeated the Flames 6-1.
Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a major factor: Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken (1-1) in better form than Flames (0-2)
- Rest Days favored the Kraken and was a major factor: Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kraken won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
- Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
- Rest DaysFavors Seattle Kraken
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Kraken
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Kraken
Flames
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Kraken are 2-0 at home this season; Flames are 0-3 on the road
Rest Days
Kraken rest advantage (1 day rest) over Flames (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Flames
Kraken
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kraken has a 69% win probability, while Flames has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.