New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils
New York Rangers 60% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rangers:
- Injuries. Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Rangers (6-2) in better form than Devils (3-3)
- ELO Rating. Devils ELO 1508 vs Rangers ELO 1537 (diff: -29)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Rangers 7-1.
Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 60% confidence, but the Devils pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Rangers and was a major factor: Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 4-2 at home this season; Rangers are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Rangers and was a contributing factor: Rangers (6-2) in better form than Devils (3-3)
- The Devils are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Rangers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- Recent FormFavors New York Rangers
- Rest DaysFavors New Jersey Devils
- ELO RatingFavors New York Rangers
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Devils
Rangers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Devils 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Rangers
No player data available
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 40% win probability, while Rangers has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.