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St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Predators logo
Predators
Nashville
5
vs
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
2
NSH 65%35% STL
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Nashville Predators 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Predators:

  • Injuries. Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Predators are 2-4 at home this season; Blues are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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VenueBridgestone Arena
Nashville, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blues (away)
Predators (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
1
6
Players ruled out
1

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Predators defeated the Blues 5-2.

Our model predicted the Predators would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Predators and was a major factor: Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators are 2-4 at home this season; Blues are 2-5 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • ELO Rating favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Predators ELO 1467 vs Blues ELO 1518 (diff: -52)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Predators have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 6.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Predators won 5-2

Predators won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Predators at 65%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Nashville Predators
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
  • ELO RatingFavors St. Louis Blues
  • Recent FormFavors St. Louis Blues
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

STL
NSH
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours STL|Favours NSH

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Predators

Our Model65%

Blues

Our Model35%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful

Predators
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/17/2026, 11:45:01 PM

Predators

Mavrik BourqueC(Upper Body)
OUT

Blues

Dillon DubeC(Neck)
OUT
Logan MaillouxD(Hand)
OUT
Torey KrugD(Ankle)
OUT
Tyler TuckerD(Knee)
OUT
Ross JohnstonLW(Lower Body)
OUT
Alexey ToropchenkoRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Blues

Joel HoferG
Jordan BinningtonG
Zach DeanC
Dillon DubeCOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Dylan PetersonC

Predators

Juuse SarosG
Justus AnnunenG
Matt MurrayG
Vitali PinchukC
Ross ColtonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Predators has a 65% win probability, while Blues has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.

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