Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders
New York Islanders 72% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Islanders:
- Injuries. Islanders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Islanders are 2-3 at home this season; Canucks are 1-5 on the road
- Recent Form. Islanders (2-3) in better form than Canucks (2-5)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Canucks 3-2.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Islanders and was a major factor: Islanders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 2-3 at home this season; Canucks are 1-5 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders (2-3) in better form than Canucks (2-5)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Canucks have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Islanders won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New York Islanders
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- Recent FormFavors New York Islanders
- ELO RatingFavors New York Islanders
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Islanders
Canucks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Islanders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Canucks
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 72% win probability, while Canucks has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.