San Jose Sharks at Detroit Red Wings
San Jose Sharks 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Sharks:
- Injuries. Sharks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Sharks (4-3) in better form than Red Wings (2-3)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Red Wings defeated the Sharks 4-3.
Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 53% confidence, but the Red Wings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: Sharks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Sharks (4-3) in better form than Red Wings (2-3)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings are 3-5 at home this season; Sharks are 3-2 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Sharks have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Red Wings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors San Jose Sharks
- Recent FormFavors San Jose Sharks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Red Wings
Sharks
Key Players
Sharks
Red Wings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 47% win probability, while Sharks has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.