NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-10-19 (2026-27)
Hit rate this week: 50% across 34 games; season-to-date: 59%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 77% — final CBJ 2–TOR 6
- Injuries (favors CBJ)
- Rest Days (favors CBJ)
- Home Field Advantage (favors CBJ)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes at Flames Mon, Oct 19 | CGY 53% • CAR 47% | CGY 3–CAR 2 | Hit |
| Avalanche at Flyers Mon, Oct 19 | PHI 41% • COL 59% | PHI 3–COL 2 | Miss |
| Ducks at Rangers Mon, Oct 19 | NYR 72% • ANA 28% | NYR 5–ANA 2 | Hit |
| Sharks at Maple Leafs Mon, Oct 19 | TOR 40% • SJS 60% | TOR 3–SJS 1 | Miss |
| Penguins at Utah Hockey Club Tue, Oct 20 | UTA 71% • PIT 29% | UTA 5–PIT 4 | Hit |
| Sharks at Canadiens Tue, Oct 20 | MTL 58% • SJS 42% | MTL 3–SJS 4 | Miss |
| Ducks at Islanders Tue, Oct 20 | NYI 53% • ANA 47% | NYI 3–ANA 2 | Hit |
| Avalanche at Devils Tue, Oct 20 | NJD 68% • COL 32% | NJD 4–COL 3 | Hit |
| Kings at Capitals Tue, Oct 20 | WSH 71% • LAK 29% | WSH 2–LAK 5 | Miss |
| Maple Leafs at Blue Jackets Tue, Oct 20 | CBJ 77% • TOR 23% | CBJ 2–TOR 6 | Miss |
| Jets at Blues Wed, Oct 21 | STL 52% • WPG 48% | STL 2–WPG 1 | Hit |
| Bruins at Stars Wed, Oct 21 | DAL 39% • BOS 61% | DAL 3–BOS 2 | Miss |
| Wild at Oilers Wed, Oct 21 | EDM 51% • MIN 49% | EDM 4–MIN 3 | Hit |
| Red Wings at Kraken Wed, Oct 21 | SEA 66% • DET 34% | SEA 4–DET 3 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Canucks Wed, Oct 21 | VAN 38% • CAR 62% | VAN 3–CAR 6 | Hit |
| Lightning at Golden Knights Wed, Oct 21 | VGK 57% • TBL 43% | VGK 2–TBL 6 | Miss |
| Flyers at Sabres Wed, Oct 21 | BUF 54% • PHI 46% | BUF 1–PHI 3 | Miss |
| Panthers at Senators Wed, Oct 21 | OTT 66% • FLA 34% | OTT 5–FLA 1 | Hit |
| Rangers at Maple Leafs Thu, Oct 22 | TOR 39% • NYR 61% | TOR 5–NYR 4 | Miss |
| Ducks at Devils Thu, Oct 22 | NJD 66% • ANA 34% | NJD 4–ANA 1 | Hit |
| Sharks at Senators Thu, Oct 22 | OTT 51% • SJS 49% | OTT 2–SJS 6 | Miss |
| Panthers at Penguins Thu, Oct 22 | PIT 58% • FLA 42% | PIT 4–FLA 0 | Hit |
| Predators at Bruins Thu, Oct 22 | BOS 64% • NSH 36% | BOS 6–NSH 0 | Hit |
| Kings at Islanders Thu, Oct 22 | NYI 63% • LAK 37% | NYI 2–LAK 3 | Miss |
| Golden Knights at Blues Fri, Oct 23 | STL 37% • VGK 63% | STL 6–VGK 2 | Miss |
| Jets at Stars Fri, Oct 23 | DAL 59% • WPG 41% | DAL 3–WPG 2 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Oilers Fri, Oct 23 | EDM 42% • CAR 58% | EDM 6–CAR 5 | Miss |
| Wild at Flames Fri, Oct 23 | CGY 61% • MIN 39% | CGY 2–MIN 1 | Hit |
| Utah Hockey Club at Kraken Fri, Oct 23 | SEA 51% • UTA 49% | SEA 5–UTA 3 | Hit |
| Red Wings at Canucks Fri, Oct 23 | VAN 52% • DET 48% | VAN 2–DET 5 | Miss |
| Canadiens at Blackhawks Sat, Oct 24 | CHI 65% • MTL 35% | CHI 1–MTL 4 | Miss |
| Lightning at Avalanche Sat, Oct 24 | COL 45% • TBL 56% | COL 6–TBL 3 | Miss |
| Ducks at Flyers Sat, Oct 24 | PHI 63% • ANA 37% | PHI 4–ANA 5 | Miss |
| Kings at Devils Sat, Oct 24 | NJD 70% • LAK 30% | NJD 3–LAK 1 | Hit |