Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo Sabres 54% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Sabres:
- Home Field Advantage. Sabres are 4-3 at home this season; Flyers are 0-7 on the road
- Recent Form. Sabres (4-3) in better form than Flyers (2-6)
- ELO Rating. Sabres ELO 1494 vs Flyers ELO 1466 (diff: +28)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flyers defeated the Sabres 3-1.
Our model predicted the Sabres would win with 54% confidence, but the Flyers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flyers and was a major factor: Flyers healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sabres and was a notable factor: Sabres are 4-3 at home this season; Flyers are 0-7 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Sabres and was a contributing factor: Sabres (4-3) in better form than Flyers (2-6)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sabres have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Flyers have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flyers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Recent FormFavors Buffalo Sabres
- ELO RatingFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Sabres
Flyers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flyers healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Sabres
Flyers
Key Players
Flyers
Sabres
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sabres has a 54% win probability, while Flyers has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY.