Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers
Colorado Avalanche 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Avalanche:
- Recent Form. Avalanche (5-2) in better form than Flyers (1-6)
- Injuries. Avalanche healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1461 vs Avalanche ELO 1548 (diff: -87)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flyers defeated the Avalanche 3-2.
Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 59% confidence, but the Flyers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Avalanche (5-2) in better form than Flyers (1-6)
- Injuries favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Avalanche healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 5 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Flyers ELO 1461 vs Avalanche ELO 1548 (diff: -87)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Avalanche have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flyers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- InjuriesFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flyers
Avalanche
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Flyers
Avalanche
Key Players
Avalanche
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 41% win probability, while Avalanche has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.