PlayDecoded
Menu

Anaheim Ducks at New York Rangers

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Rangers logo
Rangers
New York
5
vs
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
2
NYR 72%28% ANA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Rangers 72% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rangers:

  • Injuries. Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Rangers are 6-1 at home this season; Ducks are 3-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Rangers ELO 1521 vs Ducks ELO 1467 (diff: +54)

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueMadison Square Garden
New York, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Ducks (away)
Rangers (home)
28%
Win probability
72%
0
High-impact factors
1
3
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Rangers defeated the Ducks 5-2.

Our model predicted the Rangers would win with 72% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Rangers and was a major factor: Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Rangers and was a notable factor: Rangers are 6-1 at home this season; Ducks are 3-2 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Rangers and was a contributing factor: Rangers ELO 1521 vs Ducks ELO 1467 (diff: +54)
  • The Ducks are without 3 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Rangers won 5-2

Rangers won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Rangers at 72%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New York Rangers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Rangers
  • ELO RatingFavors New York Rangers
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ANA
NYR
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours ANA|Favours NYR

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Rangers

Our Model72%

Ducks

Our Model28%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Rangers healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful

Rangers
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/19/2026, 10:45:01 PM

Rangers

No injuries reported

Ducks

Ryan PoehlingC(Lower Body)
OUT
Ian MooreD(Lower Body)
OUT
Troy TerryRW(Hip)
OUT

Key Players

Ducks

Ville HussoG
Lukas DostalG
Elijah NeuenschwanderG
Roger McQueenC
Ryan PoehlingCOUT
-4.1% win prob impact

Rangers

No player data available

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Rangers has a 72% win probability, while Ducks has a 28% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.

View all NHL games