PlayDecoded
Menu

Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Utah Hockey Club

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Utah Hockey Club logo
Utah Hockey Club
Utah
5
vs
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
4
UTA 71%29% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 71% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Injuries. Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-6 on the road
  • Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (6-3) in better form than Penguins (3-5)

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Penguins (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
29%
Win probability
71%
0
High-impact factors
1
4
Players ruled out
3

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Penguins 5-4.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 71% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a major factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-6 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (6-3) in better form than Penguins (3-5)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Utah Hockey Club have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Penguins have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Utah Hockey Club won 5-4

Utah Hockey Club won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 71%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
UTA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours PIT|Favours UTA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 4 out, 0 doubtful

Utah Hockey Club
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/20/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Utah Hockey Club

John MarinoD(Upper Body)
OUT
Maveric LamoureuxD(Shoulder)
OUT
Michael CarconeLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Penguins

Samuel GirardD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Trevor van RiemsdykD(Lower Body)
OUT
Ryan GravesD(Knee)
OUT
Justin BrazeauRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Key Players

Penguins

Arturs SilovsG
Sergei MurashovG
Hendrix LapierreC
Sidney CrosbyC
Connor DewarC

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Barrett HaytonC
Jack McBainC
Logan CooleyC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 71% win probability, while Penguins has a 29% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

View all NHL games