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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

NHLregular โ€ข 2026-27 Season
completed
Blues logo
Blues
St. Louis
2
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
1
STL 52%48% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

St. Louis Blues 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blues:

  • Home Field Advantage. Blues are 2-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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VenueEnterprise Center
St. Louis, MO

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Blues (home)
48%
Win probability
52%
0
High-impact factors
0
4
Players ruled out
6

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blues defeated the Jets 2-1.

Our model predicted the Blues would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues are 2-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Injuries favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets (4-2) in better form than Blues (3-4)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blues have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blues won 2-1

Blues won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blues at 52%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors St. Louis Blues
  • InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
STL
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours WPG|Favours STL

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Blues

Our Model52%

Jets

Our Model48%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 10/20/2026, 11:45:02 PM

Blues

Dillon DubeC(Neck)
OUT
Tyler TuckerD(Knee)
OUT
Torey KrugD(Ankle)
OUT
Logan MaillouxD(Hand)
OUT
Ross JohnstonLW(Lower Body)
OUT
Alexey ToropchenkoRW(Upper Body)
OUT

Jets

Vladislav NamestnikovC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Garrett BrownC(Lower Body)
OUT
Josh MorrisseyD(Wrist)
OUT
Connor HellebuyckG(Suspension)
OUT

Key Players

Jets

Connor HellebuyckGOUT
-9.2% win prob impact
Clay StevensonG
Stuart SkinnerG
Adam LowryC
Vladislav NamestnikovCOUT
-5.5% win prob impact

Blues

Jordan BinningtonG
Joel HoferG
Dillon DubeCOUT
-5.5% win prob impact
Zach DeanC
Mason McTavishC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blues has a 52% win probability, while Jets has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

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