Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Blues:
- Home Field Advantage. Blues are 2-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blues defeated the Jets 2-1.
Our model predicted the Blues would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues are 2-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets (4-2) in better form than Blues (3-4)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blues have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blues won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors St. Louis Blues
- InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blues
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Blues
Jets
Key Players
Jets
Blues
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blues has a 52% win probability, while Jets has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.

