Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders
New York Islanders 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Islanders:
- Home Field Advantage. Islanders are 3-3 at home this season; Ducks are 3-3 on the road
- Rest Days. Islanders rest advantage (3 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Islanders defeated the Ducks 3-2.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Islanders 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 3-3 at home this season; Ducks are 3-3 on the road
- Rest Days favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders rest advantage (3 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Islanders won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- Rest DaysFavors New York Islanders
- Recent FormNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Islanders
Ducks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Islanders
Ducks
Key Players
Ducks
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 53% win probability, while Ducks has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.