Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus Blue Jackets 77% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Blue Jackets:
- Injuries. Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days. Blue Jackets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Maple Leafs (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Blue Jackets are 5-2 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-3 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Maple Leafs defeated the Blue Jackets 6-2.
Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 77% confidence, but the Maple Leafs pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blue Jackets and was a major factor: Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 8 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days favored the Blue Jackets and was a major factor: Blue Jackets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Maple Leafs (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Blue Jackets are 5-2 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-3 on the road
- The Maple Leafs are without 8 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Maple Leafs won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Rest DaysFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- ELO RatingFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 8 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest Days
Blue Jackets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Maple Leafs (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Blue Jackets
No injuries reported
Maple Leafs
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Blue Jackets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blue Jackets has a 77% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 23% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.