Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils 68% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Devils:
- Injuries. Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Devils are 5-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-4 on the road
- Rest Days. Devils rest advantage (3 days rest) over Avalanche (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Avalanche 4-3.
Our model predicted the Devils would win with 68% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Devils and was a major factor: Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 5-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 2-4 on the road
- Rest Days favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Devils rest advantage (3 days rest) over Avalanche (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Devils have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Avalanche have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors New Jersey Devils
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- Rest DaysFavors New Jersey Devils
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Devils
Avalanche
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Devils
Avalanche
Key Players
Avalanche
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 68% win probability, while Avalanche has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.