Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 53% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flames:
- Injuries. Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Hurricanes 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days. Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Hurricanes (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flames defeated the Hurricanes 3-2.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Hurricanes 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes (7-1) in better form than Flames (1-6)
- ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Flames ELO 1429 vs Hurricanes ELO 1608 (diff: -178)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flames won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flames
Hurricanes
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Hurricanes 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
Injury Report
Flames
Hurricanes
Key Players
Hurricanes
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 53% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.