Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues
Vegas Golden Knights 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Injuries. Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Golden Knights (8-3) in better form than Blues (4-4)
- ELO Rating. Blues ELO 1513 vs Golden Knights ELO 1561 (diff: -48)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blues defeated the Golden Knights 6-2.
Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 63% confidence, but the Blues pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a major factor: Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights (8-3) in better form than Blues (4-4)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues are 3-2 at home this season; Golden Knights are 5-1 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blues have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Golden Knights have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blues won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Home Field AdvantageFavors St. Louis Blues
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Rest DaysFavors St. Louis Blues
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Blues
Golden Knights
Key Players
Golden Knights
Blues
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blues has a 37% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.