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Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Devils logo
Devils
New Jersey
4
vs
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
1
NJD 66%34% ANA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New Jersey Devils 66% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Devils:

  • Injuries. Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Devils are 6-2 at home this season; Ducks are 3-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Devils ELO 1518 vs Ducks ELO 1458 (diff: +61)

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VenuePrudential Center
Newark, NJ

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Ducks (away)
Devils (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
0
High-impact factors
0
6
Players ruled out
2

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Devils defeated the Ducks 4-1.

Our model predicted the Devils would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 6-2 at home this season; Ducks are 3-4 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Devils ELO 1518 vs Ducks ELO 1458 (diff: +61)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Devils have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 6.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Devils won 4-1

Devils won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Devils at 66%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New Jersey Devils
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
  • ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
  • Recent FormFavors New Jersey Devils
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ANA
NJD
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours ANA|Favours NJD

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Devils

Our Model66%

Ducks

Our Model34%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/22/2026, 10:45:03 PM

Devils

Nick BjugstadC(Pectoral)
OUT
Seamus CaseyD(Knee)
OUT

Ducks

Ryan PoehlingC(Lower Body)
OUT
Ian MooreD(Lower Body)
OUT
Pavel MintyukovD(Lower Body)
OUT
Jeff MalottLW(Illness)
OUT
Judd CaulfieldRW(Personal)
OUT
Troy TerryRW(Hip)
OUT

Key Players

Ducks

Ville HussoG
Lukas DostalG
Elijah NeuenschwanderG
Roger McQueenC
Ryan PoehlingCOUT
-1.2% win prob impact

Devils

Jake AllenG
Nico DawsG
Remi PoirierG
Jack HughesC
Dawson MercerC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Devils has a 66% win probability, while Ducks has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.

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