Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Penguins:
- Rest Days. Penguins rest advantage (2 days rest) over Panthers (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Penguins are 3-2 at home this season; Panthers are 4-5 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Penguins defeated the Panthers 4-0.
Our model predicted the Penguins would win with 58% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Penguins and was a major factor: Penguins rest advantage (2 days rest) over Panthers (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Penguins and was a notable factor: Penguins are 3-2 at home this season; Panthers are 4-5 on the road
- Injuries favored the Panthers and was a contributing factor: Panthers healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Penguins have 7 player(s) ruled out, while the Panthers have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Penguins won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- InjuriesFavors Florida Panthers
- Recent FormFavors Florida Panthers
- ELO RatingFavors Florida Panthers
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Penguins
Panthers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Penguins rest advantage (2 days rest) over Panthers (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Penguins
Panthers
Key Players
Panthers
Penguins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Penguins has a 58% win probability, while Panthers has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.