Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Stars:
- Home Field Advantage. Stars are 4-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form. Stars (5-3) in better form than Jets (4-3)
- ELO Rating. Stars ELO 1519 vs Jets ELO 1489 (diff: +31)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Stars defeated the Jets 3-2.
Our model predicted the Stars would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Stars and was a notable factor: Stars are 4-2 at home this season; Jets are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Stars and was a contributing factor: Stars (5-3) in better form than Jets (4-3)
- ELO Rating favored the Stars and was a contributing factor: Stars ELO 1519 vs Jets ELO 1489 (diff: +31)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Stars have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Stars won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Dallas Stars
- Recent FormFavors Dallas Stars
- ELO RatingFavors Dallas Stars
- InjuriesNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Stars
Jets
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Stars
Jets
Key Players
Jets
Stars
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Stars has a 59% win probability, while Jets has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX.