Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers 51% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Oilers:
- Home Field Advantage. Oilers are 3-2 at home this season; Wild are 2-5 on the road
- ELO Rating. Oilers ELO 1555 vs Wild ELO 1516 (diff: +39)
- Recent Form. Oilers (6-1) in better form than Wild (6-2)
Make Your Prediction
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Wild 4-3.
Our model predicted the Oilers would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Wild and was a major factor: Wild healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 7 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Oilers are 3-2 at home this season; Wild are 2-5 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers ELO 1555 vs Wild ELO 1516 (diff: +39)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 7 player(s) ruled out, while the Wild have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Oilers
Wild
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Wild healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 7 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Oilers
Wild
Key Players
Wild
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 51% win probability, while Wild has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.