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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
5
vs
Utah Hockey Club logo
Utah Hockey Club
Utah
3
SEA 51%49% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 4-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-4 on the road

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Kraken (home)
49%
Win probability
51%
0
High-impact factors
0
3
Players ruled out
3

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Utah Hockey Club 5-3.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken are 4-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 5-4 on the road
  • Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Kraken 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (7-3) in better form than Kraken (6-3)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Utah Hockey Club have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 5-3

Kraken won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Kraken at 51%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours UTA|Favours SEA

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/23/2026, 1:45:01 AM

Kraken

Jake O'BrienC(Lower Body)
OUT
Ryan LindgrenD(Upper Body)
OUT
Jacob MelansonRW(Chest)
OUT

Utah Hockey Club

John MarinoD(Upper Body)
OUT
Maveric LamoureuxD(Shoulder)
OUT
Michael CarconeLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Karel VejmelkaG
Sebastian CossaG
Jack McBainC
Nick SchmaltzC
Vincent TrocheckC

Kraken

Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG
Shane WrightC
Bobby McMannC
Ben MeyersC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 51% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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