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Detroit Red Wings at Seattle Kraken

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
4
vs
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
3
SEA 66%34% DET
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 66% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Home Field Advantage. Kraken are 3-1 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-2 on the road
  • Injuries. Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form. Kraken (5-3) in better form than Red Wings (3-3)

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VenueClimate Pledge Arena
Seattle, WA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Red Wings (away)
Kraken (home)
34%
Win probability
66%
0
High-impact factors
0
4
Players ruled out
3

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Red Wings 4-3.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 66% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Home Field Advantage favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken are 3-1 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-2 on the road
  • Injuries favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken (5-3) in better form than Red Wings (3-3)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kraken have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Red Wings have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 4-3

Kraken won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Kraken at 66%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Seattle Kraken
  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

DET
SEA
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours DET|Favours SEA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/21/2026, 1:30:01 AM

Kraken

Jake O'BrienC(Lower Body)
OUT
Ryan LindgrenD(Upper Body)
OUT
Jacob MelansonRW(Chest)
OUT

Red Wings

Marco KasperC(Upper Body)
OUT
Mason AppletonC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Simon EdvinssonD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
J.T. CompherLW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Key Players

Red Wings

Daniil TarasovG
John GibsonG
Sheldon DriesC
Mason AppletonCOUT
-5.0% win prob impact
Marco KasperCOUT
-5.0% win prob impact

Kraken

Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG
Matty BeniersC
Berkly CattonC
Curtis DouglasC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kraken has a 66% win probability, while Red Wings has a 34% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA.

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