Montreal Canadiens at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 65% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blackhawks:
- Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 5-2 at home this season; Canadiens are 2-3 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canadiens defeated the Blackhawks 4-1.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 65% confidence, but the Canadiens won against the model's expectation. Results like this help us refine the model.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks are 5-2 at home this season; Canadiens are 2-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Blackhawks ELO 1435 vs Canadiens ELO 1519 (diff: -83)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Canadiens have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canadiens won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- ELO RatingFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Rest DaysFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Recent FormFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Canadiens
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Blackhawks healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Blackhawks
Canadiens
Key Players
Canadiens
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 65% win probability, while Canadiens has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.