Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders
New York Islanders 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Islanders:
- Home Field Advantage. Islanders are 4-3 at home this season; Kings are 2-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Islanders (5-3) in better form than Kings (1-4)
- Injuries. Islanders less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Kings players matter more
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kings defeated the Islanders 3-2.
Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 63% confidence, but the Kings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 4-3 at home this season; Kings are 2-3 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders (5-3) in better form than Kings (1-4)
- Injuries favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Kings players matt...
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Kings have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
- Recent FormFavors New York Islanders
- InjuriesFavors New York Islanders
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Islanders
Kings
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Islanders
Kings
Key Players
Kings
Islanders
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Islanders has a 63% win probability, while Kings has a 37% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.