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Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Canucks logo
Canucks
Vancouver
3
vs
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
6
VAN 38%62% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 62% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • ELO Rating. Canucks ELO 1426 vs Hurricanes ELO 1602 (diff: -176)
  • Recent Form. Hurricanes (7-2) in better form than Canucks (2-7)
  • Injuries. Hurricanes less affected by injuries: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Canucks players matter more

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VenueRogers Arena
Vancouver, BC

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hurricanes (away)
Canucks (home)
62%
Win probability
38%
0
High-impact factors
0
5
Players ruled out
5

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Canucks 6-3.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 62% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Canucks ELO 1426 vs Hurricanes ELO 1602 (diff: -176)
  • Recent Form favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes (7-2) in better form than Canucks (2-7)
  • Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes less affected by injuries: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Canucks 5 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Canucks players...
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 5.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 3-6

Hurricanes won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 62%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
VAN
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Favours CAR|Favours VAN

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Canucks

Our Model38%

Hurricanes

Our Model62%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/21/2026, 1:45:00 AM

Canucks

Marco RossiC(Illness)
OUT
Akil ThomasC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jack ThompsonD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Thatcher DemkoG(Hip)
OUT
Mackenzie MacEachernLW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Hurricanes

Seth JarvisC(Shoulder)
OUT
Mark JankowskiC(Lower Body)
OUT
Jordan StaalC(Calf)
OUT
Alexander NikishinD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
Taylor HallLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Hurricanes

Pyotr KochetkovG
Brandon BussiG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC
Seth JarvisCOUT
-5.2% win prob impact
Jordan StaalCOUT
-5.2% win prob impact

Canucks

Kevin LankinenG
Thatcher DemkoGOUT
-8.6% win prob impact
Leevi MerilainenG
Akil ThomasCOUT
-5.2% win prob impact
Max SassonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Canucks has a 38% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 62% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.

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