Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Flames:
- Injuries. Flames healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 2-4 at home this season; Wild are 2-6 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flames defeated the Wild 2-1.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Wild and was a contributing factor: Wild (6-2) in better form than Flames (2-6)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 2-4 at home this season; Wild are 2-6 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Wild have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flames won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Wild
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Wild
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flames
Wild
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flames healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Flames
Wild
Key Players
Wild
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 61% win probability, while Wild has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.