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Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
Scheduled
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
0
vs
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
0
PHI 59%41% ANA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Philadelphia Flyers 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Flyers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Flyers are 3-5 at home this season; Ducks are 3-5 on the road
  • Injuries. Flyers less affected by injuries: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 5 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Ducks players matter more
  • Rest Days. Flyers rest advantage (2 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)

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VenueXfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia, PA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Ducks (away)
Flyers (home)
41%
Win probability
59%
0
High-impact factors
0
5
Players ruled out
5

Game Preview

Ducks at Flyers

The Ducks visit the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.

Our model gives the Flyers a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. For the Ducks to win, several key factors would need to swing their way.

Key factors driving this prediction:

  • Home Field Advantage favors the Flyers (medium): Flyers are 3-5 at home this season; Ducks are 3-5 on the road
  • Injuries favors the Flyers (low): Flyers less affected by injuries: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 5 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Ducks players matter ...
  • Rest Days favors the Flyers (low): Flyers rest advantage (2 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 5.
Flyers59%

is favored to win

Key Factor
Home Field Advantage
Favors PHI

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • InjuriesFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
  • ELO RatingFavors Philadelphia Flyers
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ANA
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Injuries
Rest Days
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours ANA|Favours PHI

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Flyers

Our Model59%

Ducks

Our Model41%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/24/2026, 3:00:22 AM

Flyers

Cam YorkD(Upper Body)
OUT
Rasmus RistolainenD(Upper Body)
OUT
Owen TippettRW(Upper Body)
OUT
Travis KonecnyRW(Lower Body)
OUT
Nikita GrebenkinRW(Back)
OUT

Ducks

Ryan PoehlingC(Lower Body)
OUT
Pavel MintyukovD(Lower Body)
OUT
Ian MooreD(Lower Body)
OUT
Jeff MalottLW(Illness)
QUESTIONABLE
Troy TerryRW(Hip)
OUT
Judd CaulfieldRW(Personal)
OUT

Key Players

Ducks

Lukas DostalG
Elijah NeuenschwanderG
Ville HussoG
Mikael GranlundC
Nikita NesterenkoC

Flyers

Joseph WollG
Dan VladarG
Denver BarkeyC
Sean CouturierC
Christian DvorakC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Flyers has a 59% win probability, while Ducks has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.

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