Detroit Red Wings at Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks 52% to win. The biggest signal favoring Canucks:
- Home Field Advantage. Canucks are 2-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-3 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Red Wings defeated the Canucks 5-2.
Our model predicted the Canucks would win with 52% confidence, but the Red Wings pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canucks and was a notable factor: Canucks are 2-4 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings (3-3) in better form than Canucks (2-8)
- ELO Rating favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Canucks ELO 1422 vs Red Wings ELO 1468 (diff: -46)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canucks have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Red Wings have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Red Wings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vancouver Canucks
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingFavors Detroit Red Wings
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Canucks
Red Wings
Key Players
Red Wings
Canucks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canucks has a 52% win probability, while Red Wings has a 48% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Arena in Vancouver, BC.