Carolina Hurricanes at Edmonton Oilers
Carolina Hurricanes 58% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 6 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Oilers ELO 1558 vs Hurricanes ELO 1607 (diff: -49)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Hurricanes 6-5.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 58% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a major factor: Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Oilers are 4-2 at home this season; Hurricanes are 7-2 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Oilers ELO 1558 vs Hurricanes ELO 1607 (diff: -49)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Rest DaysFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Oilers
Hurricanes
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Oilers
Hurricanes
Key Players
Hurricanes
Oilers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Oilers has a 42% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 58% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.