MLB weekly report cards
Each week lists every finished game, the pre-game win probability, and the result. Hit rate and Brier score use the same rules as the accuracy page.
- 2026 week of 2026-10-19100.0% · Brier 0.138 · 2 games
- 2026 week of 2026-10-1233.3% · Brier 0.314 · 9 games
- 2026 week of 2026-10-0572.7% · Brier 0.232 · 11 games
- 2026 week of 2026-09-2885.7% · Brier 0.176 · 14 games
- 2026 week of 2026-09-2155.7% · Brier 0.234 · 70 games
- 2026 week of 2026-08-0357.8% · Brier 0.245 · 64 games
- 2026 week of 2026-07-2750.5% · Brier 0.251 · 97 games
- 2026 week of 2026-07-2050.5% · Brier 0.250 · 95 games
- 2026 week of 2026-07-1352.2% · Brier 0.251 · 46 games
- 2026 week of 2026-07-0652.0% · Brier 0.249 · 98 games
- 2026 week of 2026-06-2947.3% · Brier 0.256 · 93 games
- 2026 week of 2026-06-2246.9% · Brier 0.254 · 96 games
- 2026 week of 2026-06-1557.3% · Brier 0.243 · 89 games
- 2026 week of 2026-06-0854.4% · Brier 0.248 · 90 games
- 2026 week of 2026-06-0151.6% · Brier 0.252 · 91 games
- 2026 week of 2026-05-2554.3% · Brier 0.247 · 94 games
- 2026 week of 2026-05-1846.8% · Brier 0.253 · 94 games
- 2026 week of 2026-05-1152.2% · Brier 0.250 · 92 games
- 2026 week of 2026-05-0457.4% · Brier 0.246 · 94 games
- 2026 week of 2026-04-2752.2% · Brier 0.250 · 92 games
- 2026 week of 2026-04-2048.4% · Brier 0.254 · 93 games
- 2026 week of 2026-04-1355.8% · Brier 0.247 · 95 games
- 2026 week of 2026-04-0654.3% · Brier 0.247 · 94 games
- 2026 week of 2026-03-3053.3% · Brier 0.250 · 92 games
- 2026 week of 2026-03-2356.5% · Brier 0.246 · 70 games
- 2026 week of 2026-03-1668.2% · Brier 0.235 · 92 games
- 2026 week of 2026-03-0963.2% · Brier 0.240 · 60 games
- 2026 week of 2026-03-0259.3% · Brier 0.246 · 29 games
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.