MLB report card: week of 2026-10-26 (2026)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
100.0%
hit rate
0.076
Brier score
1 of 1 decided
Season to date
53.0%
hit rate
0.248
Brier score
983 of 1854 decided
Best calls
The model was confident and the favored side won.
- Brewers at RaysMIL 72.4% pre-game — final TB 1–MIL 10
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers at Rays Mon, Oct 26 | TB 27.6% · MIL 72.4% | TB 1–MIL 10 | Hit |
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