NHL weekly report cards
Each week lists every finished game, the pre-game win probability, and the result. Hit rate and Brier score use the same rules as the accuracy page.
- 2026-27 week of 2026-10-1953.7% · Brier 0.249 · 41 games
- 2026-27 week of 2026-10-1265.3% · Brier 0.234 · 49 games
- 2026-27 week of 2026-10-0562.0% · Brier 0.236 · 50 games
- 2026-27 week of 2026-09-2852.8% · Brier 0.265 · 36 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-06-150.0% · Brier 0.309 · 1 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-06-0850.0% · Brier 0.253 · 2 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-06-0166.7% · Brier 0.238 · 3 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-2520.0% · Brier 0.268 · 5 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-1820.0% · Brier 0.313 · 5 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-1137.5% · Brier 0.269 · 8 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-0458.3% · Brier 0.244 · 12 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-2750.0% · Brier 0.263 · 16 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-2054.2% · Brier 0.246 · 24 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-1359.0% · Brier 0.247 · 39 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-0657.7% · Brier 0.249 · 52 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-3060.0% · Brier 0.243 · 55 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-2350.9% · Brier 0.253 · 57 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-1649.1% · Brier 0.255 · 55 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-0945.8% · Brier 0.262 · 48 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-0263.6% · Brier 0.235 · 22 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-02-2340.0% · Brier 0.252 · 5 games
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.