NHL report card: week of 2026-10-26 (2026-27)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
100.0%
hit rate
0.165
Brier score
1 of 1 decided
Season to date
58.5%
hit rate
0.246
Brier score
107 of 183 decided
Best calls
The model was confident and the favored side won.
- Avalanche at PredatorsNSH 59.4% pre-game — final NSH 6–COL 2
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche at Predators Sun, Oct 25 | NSH 59.4% · COL 40.6% | NSH 6–COL 2 | Hit |
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