NHL report card: week of 2026-06-15 (2025-26)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
0.0%
hit rate
0.309
Brier score
0 of 1 decided
Season to date
52.8%
hit rate
0.252
Brier score
216 of 409 decided
Biggest misses
The model was confident and the favored side lost.
- Hurricanes at Golden KnightsVGK 55.6% pre-game — final VGK 0–CAR 3
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricanes at Golden Knights Mon, Jun 15 | VGK 55.6% · CAR 44.4% | VGK 0–CAR 3 | Miss |
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