NBA weekly report cards
Each week lists every finished game, the pre-game win probability, and the result. Hit rate and Brier score use the same rules as the accuracy page.
- 2026-27 week of 2026-10-1961.8% · Brier 0.282 · 34 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-06-0833.3% · Brier 0.284 · 3 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-06-010.0% · Brier 0.357 · 2 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-2540.0% · Brier 0.292 · 5 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-1871.4% · Brier 0.226 · 7 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-1166.7% · Brier 0.219 · 6 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-05-0478.6% · Brier 0.140 · 14 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-2768.4% · Brier 0.220 · 19 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-2054.5% · Brier 0.252 · 22 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-1361.9% · Brier 0.233 · 21 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-04-0673.1% · Brier 0.165 · 52 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-3071.2% · Brier 0.173 · 52 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-2376.4% · Brier 0.171 · 55 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-1672.2% · Brier 0.180 · 54 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-0966.1% · Brier 0.218 · 56 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-03-0270.6% · Brier 0.213 · 17 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-02-2366.7% · Brier 0.166 · 6 games
- 2025-26 week of 2026-02-1675.0% · Brier 0.221 · 4 games
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.