NBA report card: week of 2026-06-08 (2025-26)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
33.3%
hit rate
0.284
Brier score
1 of 3 decided
Season to date
69.1%
hit rate
0.195
Brier score
273 of 395 decided
Biggest misses
The model was confident and the favored side lost.
- Knicks at SpursSAS 59.2% pre-game — final SAS 90–NYK 94
- Spurs at KnicksNYK 50.4% pre-game — final NYK 111–SAS 115
Best calls
The model was confident and the favored side won.
- Spurs at KnicksNYK 50.4% pre-game — final NYK 107–SAS 106
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs at Knicks Tue, Jun 9 | NYK 50.4% · SAS 49.6% | NYK 111–SAS 115 | Miss |
| Spurs at Knicks Thu, Jun 11 | NYK 50.4% · SAS 49.6% | NYK 107–SAS 106 | Hit |
| Knicks at Spurs Sun, Jun 14 | SAS 59.2% · NYK 40.8% | SAS 90–NYK 94 | Miss |
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