NBA report card: week of 2026-06-01 (2025-26)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
0.0%
hit rate
0.357
Brier score
0 of 2 decided
Season to date
69.1%
hit rate
0.195
Brier score
273 of 395 decided
Biggest misses
The model was confident and the favored side lost.
- Knicks at SpursSAS 60.2% pre-game — final SAS 95–NYK 105
- Knicks at SpursSAS 59.2% pre-game — final SAS 104–NYK 105
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks at Spurs Thu, Jun 4 | SAS 60.2% · NYK 39.8% | SAS 95–NYK 105 | Miss |
| Knicks at Spurs Sat, Jun 6 | SAS 59.2% · NYK 40.8% | SAS 104–NYK 105 | Miss |
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