New York Knicks at San Antonio Spurs

NBAregular • 2026-2027 Season

Scheduled

Spurs

San Antonio

Knicks

New York

SAS 60%40% NYK

Prediction Confidence:

Moderate

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VenueFrost Bank Center

San Antonio, TX

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Knicks (away)

Spurs (home)

40%

Win probability

60%

High-impact factors

Players ruled out

Spurs60%

is favored to win

Key Factor

Offensive Efficiency

Favors SAS

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

Offensive EfficiencyFavors San Antonio Spurs
Defensive EfficiencyFavors New York Knicks
Home Field AdvantageFavors San Antonio Spurs
Recent FormFavors San Antonio Spurs
Rest DaysFavors San Antonio Spurs
InjuriesNeutral

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

NYK

SAS

Offensive Efficiency

Defensive Efficiency

Home Field Advantage

Recent Form

Rest Days

Favours NYK|Favours SAS

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Team Performance

Medium impactHow team performanceworks →

4 factors

Offensive Efficiency

Spurs offense (118.8 PPG) outpaces Knicks (116.8 PPG)

Spurs

Defensive Efficiency

Knicks defense (110.3 Opp PPG) better than Spurs (111.7 Opp PPG)

Knicks

Recent Form

Spurs (53-18) in better form than Knicks (46-25)

Spurs

Turnover Differential

Spurs turnover differential (+0) vs Knicks (+0)

Neutral

Injuries & Personnel

Low impactHow injuries & personnelworks →

1 factor

Injuries

Similar injury situations: Spurs (0 out) vs Knicks (0 out)

Neutral

Home & Venue

Low impactHow home & venueworks →

1 factor

Home Field Advantage

Spurs are 0-0 at home this season (divisional game, reduced advantage)

Spurs

Rest & Schedule

Low impactHow rest & scheduleworks →

1 factor

Rest Days

Spurs rest advantage (4 days rest) over Knicks (9 days rest)

Spurs

Historical

Low impactHow historicalworks →

1 factor

Head to Head

No recent head-to-head history available

Neutral

Other

Low impact

1 factor

ELO Rating

Spurs ELO 1658 vs Knicks ELO 1629 (diff: +29)

Spurs

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 5/31/2026, 8:30:02 AM

Key Players

Knicks

Jalen BrunsonG

Jordan ClarksonG

Josh HartG

Miles McBrideG

Kevin McCullar Jr.G

Spurs

Devin VassellG

Dylan HarperG

Stephon CastleG

Jordan McLaughlinG

De'Aaron FoxG

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NBA Win Probability

How we calculate NBA game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Deep Dive

Back-to-Back Fatigue

How schedule and rest affect NBA game outcomes

3 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Spurs has a 60% win probability, while Knicks has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, TX.

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