NBA report card: week of 2026-10-26 (2026-27)
Every finished game this week, graded on the last pre-game win probability — the same rule as model accuracy. Hit rate is outright: did the favored side win. Brier score is lower when the probabilities were closer to the result.
This week
100.0%
hit rate
0.010
Brier score
1 of 1 decided
Season to date
60.5%
hit rate
0.268
Brier score
26 of 43 decided
Best calls
The model was confident and the favored side won.
- Grizzlies at KingsMEM 90.2% pre-game — final SAC 112–MEM 123
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grizzlies at Kings Sun, Oct 25 | SAC 9.8% · MEM 90.2% | SAC 112–MEM 123 | Hit |
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