...
Scheduled
Yankees
New York
44%
vs
Rays
Tampa Bay
56%
Slight Lean
NYY vs TBbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL East
New York Yankees
American League Conference • AL East Division
Record
83-67
Division
AL East
Conference
American League
Upcoming
3 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Tampa Bay Rays • Thu, Oct 8 12:00 AM
44%
win probability
Model accuracy on New York Yankees: 60% (144 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
New York Yankees - 2026 Season
158315331483
Current Elo
1533
Season Change
+0
Season High
1533
Season Low
1533
Avg Change
-5.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
New York Yankees - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+6%
Model Edge Record
7-1
Model Edge Win %
88%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | Rays | A | 48% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 9 | Rays | H | 60% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 8 | Rays | H | 44% | 61% | -17% | Scheduled |
| Oct 6 | Rays | A | 34% | 41% | -6% | LOSS✓ |
| Oct 3 | Rays | A | 36% | 44% | -9% | LOSS✓ |
| Oct 2 | Red Sox | H | 73% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 1 | Red Sox | H | 73% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 30 | Red Sox | H | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 27 | Orioles | H | 80% | 52% | +28%★ | Scheduled |
| Sep 25 | Orioles | H | 81% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Sep 25 | Orioles | H | 77% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 24 | Rays | H | 46% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Sep 23 | Rays | H | 54% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 7 | Braves | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 5 | Cardinals | H | 71% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 4 | Cardinals | H | 71% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 3 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 64% | -10% | LOSS✗ |
| Aug 2 | Cubs | A | 45% | 47% | -2% | WIN✗ |
| Aug 1 | Cubs | A | 45% | 55% | -9% | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 31 | Cubs | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 30 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 29 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 28 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 27 | Chicago White Sox | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 26 | Phillies | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 25 | Phillies | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 24 | Phillies | A | 43% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 22 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 22 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 21 | Pirates | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jul 20 | Pirates | H | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 19 | Dodgers | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 19 | Dodgers | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 19 | Dodgers | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jul 17 | Dodgers | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 12 | Nationals | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 11 | Nationals | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 10 | Nationals | A | 43% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 9 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 8 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 7 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 6 | Rays | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 5 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 4 | Twins | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 3 | Twins | H | 57% | 63% | -6% | WIN✓ |
| Jul 1 | Tigers | H | 55% | 57% | -3% | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 30 | Tigers | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 29 | Tigers | H | 49% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 28 | Red Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 27 | Red Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 26 | Red Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 25 | Red Sox | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 24 | Tigers | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 23 | Tigers | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 22 | Tigers | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 21 | Reds | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 20 | Reds | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 19 | Reds | H | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 18 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 17 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 16 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 14 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 13 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 12 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 10 | Guardians | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 9 | Guardians | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 8 | Guardians | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 7 | Red Sox | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 6 | Red Sox | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Red Sox | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 4 | Guardians | H | 55% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 3 | Guardians | H | 55% | 58% | -3% | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 2 | Guardians | H | 55% | 67% | -12% | LOSS✗ |
| May 31 | Athletics | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 31 | Athletics | A | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 30 | Athletics | A | 45% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 27 | Royals | A | 71% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 26 | Royals | A | 80% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 25 | Royals | A | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 24 | Rays | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 23 | Rays | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Rays | H | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 21 | Blue Jays | H | 13% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 20 | Blue Jays | H | 14% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 19 | Blue Jays | H | 39% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 18 | Blue Jays | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 17 | Mets | A | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 16 | Mets | A | 29% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 15 | Mets | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 13 | Orioles | A | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 12 | Orioles | A | 75% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 11 | Orioles | A | 52% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 10 | Brewers | A | 7% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 9 | Brewers | A | 7% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 8 | Brewers | A | 4% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 7 | Rangers | H | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 6 | Rangers | H | 28% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 5 | Rangers | H | 50% | 54% | -5% | WIN✗ |
| May 4 | Orioles | H | 96% | 66% | +30%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 3 | Orioles | H | 96% | 72% | +24%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 2 | Orioles | H | 98% | 61% | +37%★ | WIN✓ |
| May 1 | Orioles | H | 97% | 58% | +39%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 29 | Rangers | A | 12% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 29 | Rangers | A | 77% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 28 | Rangers | A | 77% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 26 | Astros | A | 15% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 25 | Astros | A | 18% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 25 | Astros | A | 29% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 23 | Red Sox | A | 34% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 22 | Red Sox | A | 82% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 21 | Red Sox | A | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 19 | Royals | H | 64% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 18 | Royals | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 17 | Royals | H | 50% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 16 | Angels | H | 59% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 15 | Angels | H | 66% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 14 | Angels | H | 25% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 13 | Angels | H | 34% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 12 | Rays | A | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 11 | Rays | A | 17% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 10 | Rays | A | 11% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 9 | Athletics | H | 82% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 8 | Athletics | H | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 7 | Athletics | H | 70% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 5 | Marlins | H | 72% | 72% | +1% | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 4 | Marlins | H | 81% | 70% | +11%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 3 | Marlins | H | 82% | 59% | +23%★ | WIN✓ |
| Apr 1 | Mariners | A | 51% | 61% | -10% | WIN✓ |
| Apr 1 | Mariners | A | 74% | 48% | +26%★ | WIN✓ |
| Mar 31 | Mariners | A | 46% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 28 | Giants | A | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 27 | Giants | A | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 26 | Giants | A | 17% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 24 | Cubs | A | 77% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 23 | Cubs | A | 61% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 22 | Phillies | H | 42% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 21 | Tigers | A | 64% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 20 | Orioles | H | 70% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 19 | Blue Jays | A | 50% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 19 | Orioles | H | 88% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 18 | Red Sox | H | 81% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 17 | Rays | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 15 | Orioles | A | 45% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Tigers | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 14 | Phillies | H | 31% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 13 | Braves | A | 23% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 12 | Cardinals | A | 51% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 10 | Cardinals | H | 79% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 9 | Marlins | H | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 8 | Mets | H | 81% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 7 | Cardinals | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Mar 6 | Rays | H | 67% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 5 | Nationals | A | 13% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Feb 28 | Nationals | H | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
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Frequently Asked Questions
The New York Yankees play in the American League conference, AL East division.
The Yankees play their home games in New York.
We analyze Yankees games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
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Learn about the factors behind our predictions