...
Scheduled
Red Sox
Boston
54%
vs
Twins
Minnesota
46%
BOS vs MINbreakdown →
MLBAmerican League • AL East
Boston Red Sox
American League Conference • AL East Division
Record
2-1
Division
AL East
Conference
American League
Upcoming
3 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Minnesota Twins • Sat, May 23 8:10 PM
54%
win probability
Model accuracy on Boston Red Sox: 51% (67 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Boston Red Sox - 2026 Season
151014871464
Current Elo
1468
Season Change
-39
Season High
1507
Season Low
1468
Avg Change
+2.2
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Boston Red Sox - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
0%
Model Edge Record
0-6
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | Braves | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Twins | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Twins | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Twins | H | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Braves | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Braves | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Braves | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Phillies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Phillies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Phillies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Tigers | A | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Astros | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Astros | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Astros | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 27 | Blue Jays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Orioles | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Yankees | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Yankees | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Yankees | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 20 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Tigers | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Cardinals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Cardinals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Cardinals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Brewers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Brewers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Brewers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Padres | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Padres | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Padres | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Astros | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Astros | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Astros | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Reds | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Mar 24 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Twins | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Rays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 19 | Twins | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Twins | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Braves | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Tigers | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Phillies | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 4 | Mets | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Boston Red Sox play in the American League conference, AL East division.
The Red Sox play their home games in Boston.
We analyze Red Sox games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions