...
Scheduled
Padres
San Diego
57%
Slight Lean
vs
Diamondbacks
Arizona
43%
SD vs ARIbreakdown →
MLBNational League • NL West
San Diego Padres
National League Conference • NL West Division
Record
1-3
Division
NL West
Conference
National League
Upcoming
3 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Arizona Diamondbacks • Wed, Jul 8 1:40 AM
57%
win probability
Model accuracy on San Diego Padres: 69% (108 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
San Diego Padres - 2026 Season
155915261494
Current Elo
1553
Season Change
+46
Season High
1553
Season Low
1499
Avg Change
-0.8
Games
2
Model vs. Market History
San Diego Padres - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+11%
Model Edge Record
0-63
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11 | Blue Jays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 10 | Diamondbacks | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Diamondbacks | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Diamondbacks | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Diamondbacks | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 4 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 3 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Cubs | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Cubs | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Cubs | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 25 | Braves | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Braves | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Braves | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Rangers | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Rangers | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Rangers | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Cardinals | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 16 | Cardinals | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 15 | Cardinals | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Orioles | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Orioles | A | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| Jun 12 | Orioles | A | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Reds | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Reds | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 9 | Reds | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Mets | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 4 | Phillies | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Phillies | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 2 | Phillies | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Nationals | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Nationals | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 29 | Nationals | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Phillies | H | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Phillies | H | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Phillies | H | 35% | 50% | -15% | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Oakland Athletics | H | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Oakland Athletics | H | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Oakland Athletics | H | 93% | 50% | +43%★ | Scheduled |
| May 21 | Dodgers | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Dodgers | H | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Dodgers | H | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Mariners | A | 95% | 50% | +45%★ | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Mariners | A | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Mariners | A | 95% | 50% | +45%★ | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Brewers | A | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Brewers | A | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Brewers | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Cardinals | H | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Cardinals | H | 60% | 50% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Cardinals | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Cardinals | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Giants | A | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Giants | A | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Giants | A | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Chicago White Sox | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Chicago White Sox | H | 74% | 50% | +24%★ | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Chicago White Sox | H | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Cubs | H | 75% | 50% | +25%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Cubs | H | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Cubs | H | 60% | 50% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Diamondbacks | A | 27% | 50% | -23% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Diamondbacks | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Rockies | A | 79% | 50% | +29%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Rockies | A | 97% | 50% | +47%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Rockies | A | 99% | 50% | +49%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Angels | A | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Angels | A | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Angels | A | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Mariners | H | 87% | 50% | +37%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 16 | Mariners | H | 66% | 50% | +16%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Mariners | H | 91% | 50% | +41%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Rockies | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Rockies | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Rockies | H | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Rockies | H | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Pirates | A | 63% | 50% | +13%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Pirates | A | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Pirates | A | 94% | 50% | +44%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Red Sox | A | 77% | 50% | +27%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Red Sox | A | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Red Sox | A | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Giants | H | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Giants | H | 32% | 50% | -18% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Giants | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Tigers | H | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Tigers | H | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Tigers | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Mariners | H | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Diamondbacks | H | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Brewers | A | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Rockies | H | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Dodgers | A | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Chicago White Sox | H | 92% | 50% | +42%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Mariners | A | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Giants | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Diamondbacks | A | 94% | 50% | +44%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Guardians | H | 73% | 50% | +23%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Rangers | A | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Oakland Athletics | A | 79% | 50% | +29%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Royals | H | 95% | 50% | +45%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Angels | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Rangers | H | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Reds | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Guardians | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Cubs | H | 66% | 50% | +16%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 3 | Chicago White Sox | A | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The San Diego Padres play in the National League conference, NL West division.
The Padres play their home games in San Diego.
We analyze Padres games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions