...
Scheduled
Reds
Cincinnati
57%
Slight Lean
vs
Phillies
Philadelphia
43%
CIN vs PHIbreakdown →
MLB •
Philadelphia Phillies
Conference • Division
Record
1-2
Division
Conference
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
at Cincinnati Reds • Tue, Jul 7 11:10 PM
43%
win probability
Model accuracy on Philadelphia Phillies: 70% (107 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Philadelphia Phillies - 2026 Season
153114811431
Current Elo
1481
Season Change
+0
Season High
1481
Season Low
1481
Avg Change
-4.4
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Philadelphia Phillies - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-3%
Model Edge Record
0-28
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Tigers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Reds | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Reds | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Reds | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jul 6 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Royals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 2 | Pirates | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Pirates | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Pirates | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 29 | Pirates | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 26 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 25 | Nationals | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Nationals | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Nationals | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Jun 22 | Nationals | A | 36% | 50% | -14% | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 18 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Marlins | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 16 | Marlins | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 15 | Marlins | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 12 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Blue Jays | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 9 | Blue Jays | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 8 | Blue Jays | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Chicago White Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Chicago White Sox | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 4 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 2 | Padres | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Dodgers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Padres | A | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Padres | A | 60% | 50% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Padres | A | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Guardians | H | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Guardians | H | 70% | 50% | +20%★ | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Guardians | H | 64% | 50% | +14%★ | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Reds | H | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Reds | H | 11% | 50% | -39% | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Reds | H | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Pirates | A | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Pirates | A | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Pirates | A | 89% | 50% | +39%★ | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Red Sox | A | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Red Sox | A | 63% | 50% | +13%★ | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Red Sox | A | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Rockies | H | 93% | 50% | +43%★ | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Rockies | H | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Rockies | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Oakland Athletics | H | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Oakland Athletics | H | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Oakland Athletics | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Marlins | A | 91% | 50% | +41%★ | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Marlins | A | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Marlins | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Marlins | A | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 30 | Giants | H | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 30 | Giants | H | 22% | 50% | -28% | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Giants | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Giants | H | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Braves | A | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Braves | A | 37% | 50% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Braves | A | 28% | 50% | -22% | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Cubs | A | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Cubs | A | 15% | 50% | -35% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Cubs | A | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Apr 20 | Cubs | A | 19% | 50% | -31% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Braves | H | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Braves | H | 13% | 50% | -37% | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Braves | H | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Cubs | H | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Cubs | H | 15% | 50% | -35% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Cubs | H | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Diamondbacks | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Diamondbacks | H | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Diamondbacks | H | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Giants | A | 27% | 50% | -23% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Giants | A | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Giants | A | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Rockies | A | 37% | 50% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Rockies | A | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Rockies | A | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Nationals | H | 62% | 50% | +12%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Nationals | H | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Nationals | H | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Rangers | H | 74% | 50% | +24%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Rangers | H | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Rangers | H | 75% | 50% | +25%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Rays | H | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Yankees | A | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Orioles | A | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Tigers | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 19 | Rays | H | 51% | 50% | +1% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Braves | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Twins | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Tigers | A | 74% | 50% | +24%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Braves | H | 11% | 50% | -39% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Yankees | A | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Orioles | H | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Mar 12 | Blue Jays | H | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Mets | H | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Red Sox | A | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Twins | A | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Blue Jays | H | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Mar 6 | Pirates | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Philadelphia Phillies play in the conference, division.
The Phillies play their home games in Philadelphia.
We analyze Phillies games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
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Learn about the factors behind our predictions