Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays 60% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Rays:
- Injuries. Rays healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Phillies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
- Defensive Efficiency. Rays pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Phillies (4.3 RA/G)
- Offensive Efficiency. Rays offense (4.5 R/G) outpaces Phillies (4.4 R/G)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Rays defeated the Phillies 2-0.
Our model predicted the Rays would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Rays and was a major factor: Rays healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Phillies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
- Rest Days favored the Phillies and was a major factor: Phillies rest advantage (1 day rest) over Rays (back-to-back)
- Defensive Efficiency favored the Rays and was a contributing factor: Rays pitching/defense (4.0 RA/G) better than Phillies (4.3 RA/G)
- The Phillies are without 7 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Rays won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Rest DaysFavors Philadelphia Phillies
- Defensive EfficiencyFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Phillies
- Offensive EfficiencyFavors Tampa Bay Rays
- Recent FormNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries
Rays healthier (0 out, 0 doubtful) vs Phillies (7 out, 0 doubtful)
1 factor
Rest Days
Phillies rest advantage (1 day rest) over Rays (back-to-back)
Historical
Low impact1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
1 factor not shown (insufficient data)
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Phillies
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Phillies has a 40% win probability, while Rays has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.