MLB2026 season
Philadelphia Phillies vs Tampa Bay Rays
Head-to-head win probability for MLB. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
This season
2026 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5 decided games
Meetings graded
5
2026
Correct calls
3
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Philadelphia Phillies
- Injuries — Phillies healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Braves 10 out, 0 doubtful
Tampa Bay Rays
No recent factors yet.
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