Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
MLBregular • 2026-2027 Season
completed
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Rays (away)
Phillies (home)
45%
Win probability
55%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0
Phillies won 8-2
Phillies won by a solid margin
Prediction CorrectWe predicted Phillies at 55%
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
TB
PHI
Home Field Advantage
Favours TB|Favours PHI
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
3 factors
Injuries & Personnel
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Historical
Low impact1 factor
2 factors not shown (insufficient data)
Model version: 1.0.0 • Calculated: 3/19/2026, 8:45:01 AM
Key Players
Rays
No player data available
Phillies
Zack WheelerSP
Andrew PainterSP
Aaron NolaSP
Jesus LuzardoSP
Cristopher SanchezSP
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Phillies has a 55% win probability, while Rays has a 45% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at BayCare Ballpark in Clearwater, Florida.