...
Scheduled
Blue Jays
Toronto
56%
Slight Lean
vs
Pirates
Pittsburgh
44%
TOR vs PITbreakdown →
MLB •
Pittsburgh Pirates
Conference • Division
Record
2-2
Division
Conference
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
at Toronto Blue Jays • Sat, May 23 7:07 PM
44%
win probability
Model accuracy on Pittsburgh Pirates: 55% (66 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Pittsburgh Pirates - 2026 Season
156415141464
Current Elo
1514
Season Change
+0
Season High
1514
Season Low
1514
Avg Change
+3.4
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Pittsburgh Pirates - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
0%
Model Edge Record
0-7
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26 | Cubs | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Cubs | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 21 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Phillies | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Phillies | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Phillies | H | 62% | 50% | +12%★ | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Rockies | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Giants | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Giants | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Giants | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Diamondbacks | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Diamondbacks | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Diamondbacks | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Reds | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Reds | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Reds | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 30 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 27 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Brewers | A | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Rangers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 23 | Rangers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Rangers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 16 | Nationals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Nationals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Nationals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Nationals | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Cubs | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Cubs | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Cubs | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Padres | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Padres | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Padres | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Reds | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Mets | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Red Sox | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Blue Jays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Braves | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 19 | Orioles | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Tigers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Astros | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Twins | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Rays | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Mets | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Red Sox | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Red Sox | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Pittsburgh Pirates play in the conference, division.
The Pirates play their home games in Pittsburgh.
We analyze Pirates games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions