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Scheduled
Marlins
Miami
56%
Slight Lean
vs
Mariners
Seattle
44%
MIA vs SEAbreakdown →
MLB •
Miami Marlins
Conference • Division
Record
3-0
Division
Conference
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Seattle Mariners • Tue, Jul 7 10:40 PM
56%
win probability
Model accuracy on Miami Marlins: 72% (104 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Miami Marlins - 2026 Season
155015001450
Current Elo
1500
Season Change
+0
Season High
1500
Season Low
1500
Avg Change
+0.0
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Miami Marlins - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-4%
Model Edge Record
0-32
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Guardians | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Mariners | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Mariners | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Mariners | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Oakland Athletics | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Oakland Athletics | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 4 | Oakland Athletics | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jul 2 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 2 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 1 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Rangers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Rangers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 22 | Rangers | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Giants | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Giants | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 19 | Giants | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Phillies | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 16 | Phillies | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 15 | Phillies | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 12 | Pirates | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 11 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 9 | Diamondbacks | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 5 | Rays | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Nationals | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 2 | Nationals | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 1 | Nationals | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 29 | Mets | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Blue Jays | A | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| May 26 | Blue Jays | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Blue Jays | A | 32% | 50% | -18% | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Mets | H | 92% | 50% | +42%★ | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Mets | H | 89% | 50% | +39%★ | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Mets | H | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| May 21 | Braves | H | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Braves | H | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Braves | H | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Braves | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Rays | A | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Rays | A | 36% | 50% | -14% | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Rays | A | 10% | 50% | -40% | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Twins | A | 32% | 50% | -18% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Twins | A | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Twins | A | 15% | 50% | -35% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Nationals | H | 73% | 50% | +23%★ | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Nationals | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Nationals | H | 7% | 50% | -43% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Orioles | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Orioles | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Orioles | H | 48% | 50% | -2% | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Phillies | H | 9% | 50% | -41% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Phillies | H | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Phillies | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Phillies | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Dodgers | A | 64% | 50% | +14%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Dodgers | A | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Dodgers | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Giants | A | 28% | 50% | -22% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Giants | A | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Giants | A | 58% | 50% | +8%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Cardinals | H | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Cardinals | H | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| Apr 20 | Cardinals | H | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Brewers | H | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Brewers | H | 49% | 50% | -1% | Scheduled |
| Apr 17 | Brewers | H | 16% | 50% | -34% | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Braves | A | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Braves | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Braves | A | 22% | 50% | -28% | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Tigers | A | 77% | 50% | +27%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Tigers | A | 41% | 50% | -9% | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Tigers | A | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 9 | Reds | H | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Reds | H | 60% | 50% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Reds | H | 30% | 50% | -20% | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Reds | H | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Yankees | A | 28% | 50% | -22% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Yankees | A | 19% | 50% | -31% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Yankees | A | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Chicago White Sox | H | 87% | 50% | +37%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Chicago White Sox | H | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Chicago White Sox | H | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Rockies | H | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Rockies | H | 80% | 50% | +30%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 27 | Rockies | H | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Mets | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Nationals | H | 52% | 50% | +2% | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Astros | A | 63% | 50% | +13%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Nationals | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Mets | H | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Blue Jays | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Astros | A | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Cardinals | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Nationals | A | 41% | 50% | -9% | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Mets | A | 25% | 50% | -25% | Scheduled |
| Mar 11 | Astros | H | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Nationals | H | 42% | 50% | -8% | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Yankees | A | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Cardinals | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Astros | A | 37% | 50% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Mets | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Miami Marlins play in the conference, division.
The Marlins play their home games in Miami.
We analyze Marlins games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze MLB Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions