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Final
Nationals
Washington
6
vs
Mets
New York
4
WSH vs NYMbreakdown →
MLBNational League • NL East
Washington Nationals
National League Conference • NL East Division
Record
73-73
Division
NL East
Conference
National League
Upcoming
0 games
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Washington Nationals - 2026 Season
150514991493
Current Elo
1494
Season Change
-10
Season High
1504
Season Low
1494
Avg Change
+0.8
Games
3
Model vs. Market History
Washington Nationals - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+2%
Model Edge Record
1-9
Model Edge Win %
10%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | Mets | H | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | WIN✓ |
| Sep 26 | Mets | H | 72% | 50% | +22%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Sep 25 | Mets | H | 73% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 7 | Reds | H | 71% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Aug 6 | Phillies | A | 42% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 5 | Phillies | A | 42% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Aug 4 | Phillies | A | 42% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 3 | Phillies | A | 48% | 42% | +6%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 2 | Braves | A | 48% | 40% | +7%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Aug 1 | Braves | A | 48% | 47% | +1% | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 31 | Braves | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 30 | Braves | A | 54% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 29 | Blue Jays | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 28 | Blue Jays | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 27 | Blue Jays | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 26 | Diamondbacks | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 25 | Diamondbacks | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 24 | Diamondbacks | H | 60% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 22 | Rockies | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 22 | Rockies | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 21 | Rockies | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 19 | Athletics | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 19 | Athletics | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jul 18 | Athletics | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jul 12 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 11 | Yankees | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 10 | Yankees | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 8 | Astros | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 7 | Astros | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 6 | Astros | H | 57% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jul 5 | Pirates | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 4 | Pirates | H | 57% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jul 3 | Pirates | H | 58% | 57% | +1% | WIN✓ |
| Jul 1 | Red Sox | A | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 30 | Red Sox | A | 49% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 29 | Red Sox | A | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 28 | Orioles | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 27 | Orioles | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 26 | Orioles | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 25 | Phillies | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 24 | Phillies | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 23 | Phillies | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 22 | Phillies | H | 64% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 21 | Rays | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 20 | Rays | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 19 | Rays | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 17 | Royals | H | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 16 | Royals | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 15 | Royals | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 14 | Mariners | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 13 | Mariners | H | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 12 | Mariners | H | 65% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 10 | Giants | A | 47% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 10 | Giants | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 9 | Giants | A | 47% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 7 | Diamondbacks | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Jun 6 | Diamondbacks | A | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Jun 6 | Diamondbacks | A | 50% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Jun 3 | Marlins | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 2 | Marlins | H | 57% | 51% | +6%★ | LOSS✗ |
| Jun 1 | Marlins | H | 57% | 49% | +8%★ | LOSS✗ |
| May 31 | Padres | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 30 | Padres | H | 56% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 29 | Padres | H | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 27 | Guardians | A | 34% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 26 | Guardians | A | 92% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 25 | Guardians | A | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 24 | Braves | A | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 23 | Braves | A | 54% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 22 | Braves | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 21 | Mets | H | 77% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 20 | Mets | H | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 19 | Mets | H | 35% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| May 18 | Mets | H | 42% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 17 | Orioles | H | 76% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 16 | Orioles | H | 88% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 15 | Orioles | H | 68% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 14 | Reds | A | 64% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| May 13 | Reds | A | 96% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 12 | Reds | A | 81% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 10 | Marlins | A | 27% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 9 | Marlins | A | 44% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| May 8 | Marlins | A | 93% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 7 | Twins | H | 90% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 6 | Twins | H | 72% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| May 5 | Twins | H | 57% | 49% | +8%★ | LOSS✗ |
| May 3 | Brewers | H | 37% | 42% | -5% | WIN✗ |
| May 2 | Brewers | H | 21% | 45% | -24% | LOSS✓ |
| May 1 | Brewers | H | 16% | 45% | -29% | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 30 | Mets | A | 75% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 29 | Mets | A | 95% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 28 | Mets | A | 58% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 26 | Chicago White Sox | A | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 25 | Chicago White Sox | A | 80% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 24 | Chicago White Sox | A | 88% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 23 | Braves | H | 42% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 22 | Braves | H | 21% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 21 | Braves | H | 61% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 20 | Braves | H | 55% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 19 | Giants | H | 70% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 18 | Giants | H | 61% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 17 | Giants | H | 45% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 16 | Pirates | A | 75% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 15 | Pirates | A | 84% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 14 | Pirates | A | 88% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 13 | Pirates | A | 81% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 12 | Brewers | A | 40% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 11 | Brewers | A | 66% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Apr 10 | Brewers | A | 36% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 8 | Cardinals | H | 62% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Apr 7 | Cardinals | H | 17% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 6 | Cardinals | H | 48% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Apr 5 | Dodgers | H | 34% | 38% | -4% | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 4 | Dodgers | H | 22% | 35% | -13% | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 3 | Dodgers | H | 46% | 29% | +17%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Apr 1 | Phillies | A | 38% | 30% | +9%★ | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 31 | Phillies | A | 88% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 30 | Phillies | A | 86% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 29 | Cubs | A | 83% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 28 | Cubs | A | 52% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 26 | Cubs | A | 82% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 23 | Orioles | H | 79% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 22 | Orioles | A | 86% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 21 | Mets | H | 67% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 20 | Marlins | A | 48% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 19 | Cardinals | A | 88% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 18 | Marlins | H | 55% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Mar 17 | Cardinals | H | 84% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 16 | Mets | A | 85% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 15 | Cardinals | A | 16% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 14 | Marlins | H | 59% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 13 | Mets | H | 43% | - | - | LOSS✓ |
| Mar 12 | Astros | A | 82% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 11 | Cardinals | H | 60% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 10 | Marlins | A | 58% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 8 | Astros | H | 91% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 7 | Mets | H | 71% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Mar 6 | Astros | A | 56% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
| Mar 5 | Yankees | H | 87% | - | - | WIN✓ |
| Feb 28 | Yankees | A | 53% | - | - | WIN✓ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Washington Nationals play in the National League conference, NL East division.
The Nationals play their home games in Washington.
We analyze Nationals games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
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