...
Scheduled
Reds
Cincinnati
57%
Slight Lean
vs
Phillies
Philadelphia
43%
CIN vs PHIbreakdown →
MLB •
Cincinnati Reds
Conference • Division
Record
1-2
Division
Conference
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Philadelphia Phillies • Tue, Jul 7 11:10 PM
57%
win probability
Model accuracy on Cincinnati Reds: 62% (110 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Cincinnati Reds - 2026 Season
154014901440
Current Elo
1490
Season Change
+0
Season High
1490
Season Low
1490
Avg Change
-4.8
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Cincinnati Reds - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
-4%
Model Edge Record
0-38
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 10 | Cubs | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jul 9 | Phillies | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 8 | Phillies | H | 56% | 50% | +6%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 7 | Phillies | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 5 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 4 | Orioles | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jul 3 | Orioles | H | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| Jul 2 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jul 2 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 30 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 29 | Brewers | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 28 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 27 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 26 | Pirates | A | 44% | 50% | -6% | Scheduled |
| Jun 24 | Brewers | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 23 | Brewers | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 22 | Brewers | H | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 21 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 20 | Yankees | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 19 | Yankees | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Jun 17 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 16 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 15 | Mets | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| Jun 14 | Diamondbacks | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 13 | Diamondbacks | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 12 | Diamondbacks | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Padres | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 10 | Padres | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 9 | Padres | A | 43% | 50% | -7% | Scheduled |
| Jun 7 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 6 | Cardinals | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Jun 3 | Royals | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 2 | Royals | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| Jun 1 | Royals | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| May 31 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 30 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 29 | Braves | H | 55% | 50% | +5% | Scheduled |
| May 27 | Mets | A | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| May 26 | Mets | A | 84% | 50% | +34%★ | Scheduled |
| May 25 | Mets | A | 76% | 50% | +26%★ | Scheduled |
| May 24 | Cardinals | H | 55% | 50% | +5%★ | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Cardinals | H | 67% | 50% | +17%★ | Scheduled |
| May 23 | Cardinals | H | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| May 22 | Cardinals | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| May 20 | Phillies | A | 82% | 50% | +32%★ | Scheduled |
| May 19 | Phillies | A | 89% | 50% | +39%★ | Scheduled |
| May 18 | Phillies | A | 54% | 50% | +4% | Scheduled |
| May 17 | Guardians | A | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| May 16 | Guardians | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| May 15 | Guardians | A | 28% | 50% | -22% | Scheduled |
| May 14 | Nationals | H | 36% | 50% | -14% | Scheduled |
| May 13 | Nationals | H | 4% | 50% | -46% | Scheduled |
| May 12 | Nationals | H | 19% | 50% | -31% | Scheduled |
| May 10 | Astros | H | 50% | 50% | 0% | Scheduled |
| May 9 | Astros | H | 79% | 50% | +29%★ | Scheduled |
| May 8 | Astros | H | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| May 7 | Cubs | A | 8% | 50% | -42% | Scheduled |
| May 6 | Cubs | A | 19% | 50% | -31% | Scheduled |
| May 5 | Cubs | A | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| May 4 | Cubs | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| May 3 | Pirates | A | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| May 2 | Pirates | A | 7% | 50% | -43% | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Pirates | A | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Apr 30 | Rockies | H | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Rockies | H | 29% | 50% | -21% | Scheduled |
| Apr 28 | Rockies | H | 87% | 50% | +37%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Tigers | H | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Apr 25 | Tigers | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Tigers | H | 81% | 50% | +31%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 22 | Rays | A | 9% | 50% | -41% | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Rays | A | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 20 | Rays | A | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Twins | A | 69% | 50% | +19%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Twins | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Apr 18 | Twins | A | 31% | 50% | -19% | Scheduled |
| Apr 16 | Giants | H | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Giants | H | 33% | 50% | -17% | Scheduled |
| Apr 14 | Giants | H | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 12 | Angels | H | 61% | 50% | +11%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Angels | H | 57% | 50% | +7%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 10 | Angels | H | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Apr 9 | Marlins | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Apr 8 | Marlins | A | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Marlins | A | 70% | 50% | +20%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Marlins | A | 60% | 50% | +10%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 5 | Rangers | A | 41% | 50% | -9% | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Rangers | A | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| Apr 3 | Rangers | A | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| Apr 1 | Pirates | H | 22% | 50% | -28% | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Pirates | H | 27% | 50% | -23% | Scheduled |
| Mar 30 | Pirates | H | 34% | 50% | -16% | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Red Sox | H | 71% | 50% | +21%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Red Sox | H | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Red Sox | H | 4% | 50% | -46% | Scheduled |
| Mar 24 | Brewers | A | 20% | 50% | -30% | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Brewers | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Guardians | A | 53% | 50% | +3% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Chicago White Sox | H | 37% | 50% | -13% | Scheduled |
| Mar 21 | Cubs | A | 13% | 50% | -37% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Angels | A | 38% | 50% | -12% | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Rockies | H | 73% | 50% | +23%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Guardians | H | 40% | 50% | -10% | Scheduled |
| Mar 16 | Diamondbacks | A | 47% | 50% | -3% | Scheduled |
| Mar 15 | Mariners | A | 79% | 50% | +29%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Rangers | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Giants | H | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Giants | A | 39% | 50% | -11% | Scheduled |
| Mar 13 | Angels | A | 41% | 50% | -9% | Scheduled |
| Mar 11 | Brewers | H | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Rockies | A | 45% | 50% | -5% | Scheduled |
| Mar 9 | Oakland Athletics | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Padres | A | 14% | 50% | -36% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Diamondbacks | H | 88% | 50% | +38%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 7 | Royals | A | 12% | 50% | -38% | Scheduled |
| Mar 6 | Giants | A | 46% | 50% | -4% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Cincinnati Reds play in the conference, division.
The Reds play their home games in Cincinnati.
We analyze Reds games using multiple factors including weather conditions, offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
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